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Science Friday > Archives > 2000 > May > May 19, 2000: 

Hour One: "Controlled" Fires / Cancer Rate

The Cerro Grande fire near Los Alamos, New Mexico, and the Outlook fire on the north rim of the Grand Canyon continued to burn this week. On Thursday, firefighters announced that due to cooler temperatures and lighter winds, the Los Alamos fire was about 65% contained.

Of course, it was supposed to have been completely contained from the beginning. The Los Alamos fires, which have burned for weeks and have left hundreds homeless, were deliberately set as part of "prescribed burn" programs. Such programs are intended to clean out old underbrush and dead wood, mimicking the natural cycles of wildfire and renewal in wilderness areas.


Prescribed burn, Grand Canyon National Park, April 2000. (img Ken Kerr, Grand Canyon NP)

The Bandelier National Monument is closed due to the fires, and while many Los Alamos-area residents have been allowed to return to their homes, some had no homes to return to. The Los Alamos National Laboratory remains closed.

On Thursday, Secretary of the Interior Bruce Babbitt issued a scathing report on the events that led to the fires becoming uncontrolled. Poor decision-making, lack of adequate equipment, and a failure to communicate to firefighting crews important information about topics such as weather conditions and the fire's spread all played a role in the Cerro Grande blaze. Steps are underway to provide compensation to the residents of the area. The total cost of the fires is currently estimated to be about a billion dollars.

What went wrong this year in the southwest? How should prescribed burns be set? When is it safe to burn, and when would burning be risky? And are controlled fires in wilderness areas always the best way to help an ecological system? We'll talk about it on this hour of Science Friday.

Plus...cancer news. The rates at which Americans are diagnosed with cancer, and the rates of death due to cancer, are both on the decline. According to a study from the National Cancer Institute, the American Cancer Society, the North American Association of Central Cancer Registries and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the incidence rate of all types of cancers, (representing the number of new cases of cancer in a population) declined an average of eight-tenths of one percent per year between 1990 and 1997. Death rates declined as well.

The study results, however, may seem hard to follow to a non-statistician. Although the rates of cancer incidence and death are both on the decline, the number of cases of cancer actually increased in recent years. Why the discrepancy? An aging population means that cancer is more likely, so the study reports results adjusted for these age differences. We'll try to sort through the findings in this hour of Science Friday.

 

 

 

Guests:
Phyllis Wingo
Department of Epidemiology and Surveillance Research
American Cancer Society
Atlanta, Georgia

Fred Myers
Director, Fire Management and Restoration Program
The Nature Conservancy
Tall Timbers Research Station
Tallahassee, Florida

W. Wallace Covington
Professor, Forestry Director, Ecological Restoration Institute
Northern Arizona University
Flagstaff, Arizona

Books/Articles Discussed:


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Related Links:
Cerro Grande Prescribed Fire Investigation Report
The Nature Conservancy: Conservation Science
Prescribed Fire Training Center (PFTC)
National Interagency Fire Center (NIFC)
National Weather Service Boise, Idaho - Fire Weather
How to Conduct a Prescribed Burn - Wildlife - Ag News & Views
Fire Ecology Table of Contents
TNC Guidelines for Conducting Prescribed Burns
Morning Report Index
NPS Fire Management Program Center

American Cancer Society
National Cancer Institute

The 9th Report on Carcinogens (NIEHS)
CancerNet- cancer information from the National Cancer Institute

Produced By: Annette Heist
Web Producer: Charles Bergquist

 

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