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Science Friday > Archives > 2001 > June > June 8, 2001:

Hour One: Suspect Statistics

As the saying goes, "There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics."

In April of this year, the U.S. Census Bureau put out a press release titled "The Nuclear Family Rebounds." The release highlighted results of a study entitled "Living Arrangements of Children: Fall 1996." Just a month later, newspapers around the country were running stories with headlines such as this one from the New York Times: "For First Time, Nuclear Families Drop Below 25% of Households." That round of stories was based on other reports from the census bureau. So what happened in just a month?

Back in the mid-1980s, there was a good deal of press attention directed towards the issue of missing children. One advocacy group claimed that 50,000 children were abducted each year. However, a Pulitzer-prize winning series of articles in the Denver Post found that number to be off by an amazing amount. FBI figures put the real number at a few hundred abductees a year -- still quite serious, but nowhere near the tens of thousands that had been reported.

In this hour of Science Friday, we'll be talking about how statistics can be mangled and wrangled in support of arguments, and about what you can do to protect yourself from being taken in. Call in with your thoughts and comments at 1-800-989-8255, and share your opinions online in our Listeners' Lounge (registration required)

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Guests:
Joel Best
Author, "Damned Lies and Statistics: Untangling Numbers from the Media, Politicians and Activists"
Professor and Chair of Sociology and Criminal Justice
University of Delaware
Newark, Delaware

David Murray
Co-author, "It Ain't Necessarily So: How Media Make and Unmake the Scientific Picture of Reality"
Director
Statistical Assessment Service
Washington, DC

Books/Articles Discussed:

"Damned Lies and Statistics: Untangling Numbers from the Media, Politicians, and Activists," by Joel Best. University of California Press, 2001.

"It Ain't Necessarily So: How Media Make and Unmake the Scientific Picture of Reality" by David Murray, Joel Schwartz, S. Robert Lichter. Rowman & Littlefield, 2001.

(find more SciFri books here)

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Related Links:
The World-Wide Web Virtual Library: Statistics
Statistical Assessment Service
FedStats Home Page
National Center for Health Statistics
Bureau of Labor Statistics
National Statistics - the official UK statistics site
National Agricultural Statistics Service
The Bureau of Transportation Statistics, US DOT

This segment produced by:
Charles Bergquist

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